Thursday, March 5, 2015

Millennials, Magnum and Experience

I'd like to share this piece about TGIF which I think speaks to all of us on various levels:

- Casual dining chains in the US are dying.  

- "....and consumer behavior are constantly changing,  you’ve got to change with it.”  There goes that dinosaur analogy again.  Inescapable, isn't it?

-  The millennials (those born between the early 80's and early 2000's) are at it again.  Dictating how business is being done.  

For a country with such a young population (The Philippines' median age is 23.4 and this can be compared with Singapore's 41 and Thailand's 33) that is becoming the emerging economic force - thanks to the jobs that are coming in - the millennials should be on everybody's radar.  

-  “They’re going to need to look at creating experiences -- creating flavor adventures..."  

At my Dad's birthday lunch yesterday, we'd dropped by Magnum Cafe for dessert and were impressed by the set up that I interviewed our server  and asked - among other things ("Is there a reason why Magnum hires good looking people like you and others?"  just sounded so gay, I know.  Ahh, the perils of research) - what the secret of Magnum is (the place was close to capacity) and he used the word "experience," especially their "make your own."  

True, we saw millennials posing with their creations - presumably to be posted.  

Endless Appetizers 'Will Destroy' TGI Fridays: Analyst
Posted: 07/09/2014 12:35 pm EDT  |  Updated: 07/09/2014 12:59 pm EDT

 
TGI Fridays is so hungry for new customers that it’s giving food away.
The chain restaurant launched an all-you-can-eat deal on Monday, offering endless helpings of any one appetizer -- potato skins, mozzarella sticks, spinach dip and other options -- for $10 per person. The promotion is meant to draw new customers, and it's getting heaps of press coverage of the sort not seen since the chain's 1990s heyday.
Yet analysts say the endless apps deal is basically Fridays' swan song, a last-ditch move that ultimately cheapens the company's brand. The apps may be endless, but Americans' desire to visit a so-called "casual dining" chain restaurant is just about over.
“In the short term, [Fridays] will definitely have more traffic, but in the long term it damages their plan and will really destroy them,” said Aaron Allen, founder of Aaron Allen & Associates, a restaurant industry consulting firm. “It’s the signal of a desperate brand.”
Sales nosedived at casual chain restaurants during the recession, sending once-popular eateries like Bennigan's and Friendly's into bankruptcy. Even as the economy has recovered, most of these restaurants have struggled to regain customers. Millennials want fresh, cheap fastish food from chains like Panera and Chipotle. The Mexican chain's revenue more than doubled to $3.2 billion from 2009 to 2013. The days of young "singles" flocking to TGI Fridays happy hours are long over.
Even Brian Gies, Fridays’ chief marketing officer in the U.S., said the company was stuck in a "combo-meal malaise" and admitted it needed to adapt to modern tastes.
“There are no silver bullets in this business,” Gies said in an interview with The Huffington Post. “The economy and consumer behavior are constantly changing, you’ve got to change with it.”
Sales are anemic at the 49-year-old company, which has more than 900 restaurants in 60 countries. The chain was sold in May by its longtime owner, hospitality firm Carlson Restaurant Inc., to two private equity firms for upward of $800 million.
Annual revenue at company-owned stores dropped 2 percent to $1.1 billion in 2013, according to numbers shown to HuffPost by PrivCo, a financial data provider on privately held companies. Including franchisees, sales revenue hovered at $2.7 billion last year, the same as the year before.
Gies declined to comment on those figures.
The “endless appetizers” promotion, which runs until Aug. 24, may eat into sales. But for the restaurant that claims to have popularized the term "happy hour" and the Long Island Iced Tea, the real money-maker may be alcohol.
“They’re probably hoping they can make it up on drinks,” said Joel Cohen, a restaurant marketing expert.
But a quick boom in booze sales may just further erode the struggling brand.
“If they’re just up-selling the alcohol, the promotion just looks like a ploy,” said Joseph Szala, a restaurant branding expert at the marketing firm Iris Worldwide.”They’re saying, ‘We’ll do anything to get you into a Fridays for a meal’ -- it’s too kitschy, too car sales-y. It’s low class.”
To survive, Fridays may have to raise prices, Allen said.
“That’s the only way you can compete,” he said. “A casual dining restaurant can never be as casual and as fast and convenient as a fast-casual one.”
potato skins


























Potato skins is one of Fridays' 10 main appetizer options
Or it can jazz up its menu. Sure, Gies said the mozzarella sticks now include asiago cheese and a dusting of parmesan. And, yeah, the potato skins have more cheese and are “more potato-y,” he said. But, according to Jeff Fromm, an advertising consultant at Barkley who co-authored the book Marketing to Millennials, the key to attracting the coveted 20-something consumers Fridays is losing to fast-casual chains is offering some culinary pizzazz.
“They’re going to need to look at creating experiences -- creating flavor adventures,” Fromm said. “Less uniqueness means bigger problems for Fridays.”
Written July 10, 2014

The Flywheel, Bus and....Pop

Hey, promise, promise this will be the last reference on the Spurs....for this year.  Before, though, I'd like to have a little lesson on engineering.  The flywheel is a rotating mechanical device that is used to store rotational energy.  Its application can be seen from anywhere from tractors to those toy cars on friction motion.  

Maybe the ladies out there may be more familiar with those old-style sewing machines where a few presses on the foot pedal created energy that allowed the spindle to keep turning long after.  

Now, before I lose you guys I just want to say there's a point to this.    

You see, Jim Collins, author of the "Good to Great" series pointed out that in a study of 1,435 companies over a 40 year performance period saw that it had seemed that some companies reached a "flywheel" point where, seemingly on some sort of own energy, had grown from, yes, good to great.  Jim illustrates this this way:

"Right now, the flywheel is at a standstill. To get it moving, you make a tremendous effort. You push with all your might, and finally you get the flywheel to inch forward. After two or three days of sustained effort, you get the flywheel to complete one entire turn. You keep pushing, and the flywheel begins to move a bit faster. It takes a lot of work, but at last the flywheel makes a second rotation. You keep pushing steadily. 

Image result for engine flywheel
It makes three turns, four turns, five, six. With each turn, it moves faster, and then—at some point, you can’'t say exactly when—you break through. The momentum of the heavy wheel kicks in your favor. It spins faster and faster, with its own weight propelling it. You aren't pushing any harder, but the flywheel is accelerating, its momentum building, its speed increasing."

"This is the Flywheel Effect. It's what it feels like when you’re inside a company that makes the transition from good to great."  

He lists down a number of factors on how they got there, but, what am bringing up today.....I'd like my partner to continue:

"In fact, leaders of companies that go from good to great start not with “where” but with “who.” They start by getting the right people on the bus, the wrong people off the bus, and the right people in the right seats. And they stick with that discipline—first the people, then the direction—no matter how dire the circumstances."

Now, keeping the right people on the bus is a story in itself.  This is where the story of Pop and the Spurs come in.  You see, a constant in their success of four championships in 12 years is the fact that it's been the same three core players and coach. 

The key in this story is that all three players turned down the opportunity to make bigger money elsewhere - staying for million dollar discounts.  Why did they?

The team's French point guard (and ex-husband of Eva Longoria) says it best:  "Everybody asks me that.  I was talking with a couple of my friends and they were asking that. I was like, I don't know. I think it's just the atmosphere here, the family atmosphere."

"For me personally, why I did it was because, deep down in my heart I know Pop will take care of me until the end of my career. So that's why I felt like I can take less now and help the team out. And we were able to sign Danny [Green] and Boris. And I know when I get a little bit older, I know Pop will take care of me. I really feel that."

Like my Dad says, "It's not all about the money."  

Written June 26, 2014